Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 5.280566 5.745545 6.264964 6.895231 7.649324 8.536265 9.680176
2025-02-02 5.056834 5.748311 6.588573 7.716159 9.244992 11.343566 14.658951
2025-02-09 4.703889 5.525714 6.591978 8.149244 10.519808 14.347184 22.159465
2025-02-16 4.363359 5.261719 6.491702 8.426389 11.716876 18.061304 36.547503
2025-02-23 4.043257 4.977802 6.314392 8.554811 12.780098 22.637665 71.997963
2025-03-02 3.656033 4.552630 5.866629 8.152288 12.748775 25.013446 136.920764
2025-03-09 3.398544 4.285103 5.620072 8.042851 13.308706 30.190678 1758.203100
2025-03-16 3.111993 3.947297 5.221683 7.583723 12.928925 31.995516 NaN
2025-03-23 2.967284 3.807940 5.124144 7.670005 13.947302 43.036484 NaN
2025-03-30 2.810936 3.636530 4.952784 7.578169 14.489732 55.361474 NaN
2025-04-06 2.648886 3.443586 4.724602 7.328772 14.480550 65.463880 NaN
2025-04-13 2.483865 3.235233 4.451674 6.943404 13.905506 67.946365 NaN
2025-04-20 2.426631 3.206461 4.511346 7.347255 16.490754 231.063981 NaN
2025-04-27 2.427549 3.272196 4.753169 8.270747 22.833543 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.370019 3.236069 4.802218 8.761253 28.984044 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.298175 3.169282 4.783148 9.076229 35.926412 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 2.218171 3.081720 4.711104 9.222106 43.173302 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 2.100451 2.919551 4.466886 8.761914 41.513808 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 2.017728 2.814739 4.333957 8.636882 45.128239 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 1.913741 2.666229 4.095974 8.116229 40.898296 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 1.861597 2.607771 4.044980 8.213451 48.796313 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 1.800116 2.528759 3.942176 8.109427 53.180453 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 1.731785 2.433874 3.797336 7.828037 52.213190 NaN NaN